Inferno X Pull Rates: Real Odds & Top Chase Cards (M2)

PokePatch Pokemon TCG pull rates Inferno X

Inferno X (M2), released on September 26, 2025, continued the fiery momentum of the Pokémon TCG: MEGA series era. Following the dual-release of Mega Symphonia and Mega Brave, this expansion turned the heat up by focusing on powerful Fire-type Mega Evolutions, with the iconic Mega Charizard X taking center stage.

Because this set hosts one of the most expensive and difficult-to-pull Charizard cards in modern Pokémon history, Japanese Inferno X booster boxes command a significant premium over their English Phantasmal Flames counterparts. But before you rip into these highly sought-after packs or stash them for your sealed collection, you need to know exactly how brutal the pull rates actually are.

Based on aggregated community data and thousands of box openings, here is exactly what to expect.

The Best Chase Cards in Inferno X

TCGplayer button cards Mega Charizard X ex - 110

Unsurprisingly, the most valuable cards in Inferno X revolve entirely around Mega Charizard ex.

The absolute crown jewel of the set is the Mega Charizard X ex Mega Ultra Rare (MUR). This gold-plated masterpiece is considered a generational chase card. With a staggering market price hovering around ¥110,000 (~$730), it is the ultimate high-value single for serious collectors.

If you don’t hit the MUR, the Mega Charizard X ex Special Art Rare (SAR) is an incredible secondary chase, sitting comfortably around ¥80,000 (~$530). Beyond the Charizards, collectors are actively hunting the supporting cast of SARs, which include Oricorio ex, Dawn, Mega Sharpedo ex, and Mega Lopunny ex.

Guaranteed Hit Rates in Inferno X Booster Boxes

Like other standard Japanese main expansions in the M-era, a sealed Inferno X booster box contains 30 packs (with 5 cards per pack).

If you open a fully sealed, untampered booster box, you are mathematically guaranteed to pull at least the following:

  • 1 Super Rare (SR) or better (If you are lucky, this slot upgrades to an SAR or the elusive MUR!)
  • 1 Item/Trainer Super Rare (SR) (A guaranteed secondary SR slot)
  • 3 Art Rares (AR)
  • 4-5 Double Rares (RR)

Inferno X Pull Rates Chart

Using those guaranteed booster box ratios and aggregated data, here is the estimated hit rate per individual Inferno X booster pack.

Card Type Ratio Percent Chance
Double Rare (RR) ~1:7 ~14% per pack
Art Rare (AR) 1:10 10%
Item/Trainer Super Rare (SR) 1:30 3.3%
Pokemon SR ~1:44 ~2.2%
Special Art Rare (SAR) ~1:90 ~1.1%
Mega Ultra Rare (MUR) ~1:1500 <0.07%

(Note: The Mega Charizard X ex MUR is arguably the toughest pull in the era. At a rate of roughly 1 in 50 boxes, you only have about a 2% chance of finding it in any given booster box. SARs are significantly easier, appearing in roughly 1 out of every 3 boxes.)

Is Inferno X Worth Opening?

Inferno X presents a fascinating dilemma for collectors. On one hand, the sheer value of the Mega Charizard X ex MUR makes opening packs incredibly thrilling—a single pack can yield a massive $700+ hit. The box EV (Expected Value) is unusually strong for a Pokémon set.

However, because the top-end pull rates are so brutal (1-in-50 boxes for the MUR), Inferno X is also a phenomenal product to keep sealed. Historically, sets with massive Charizard chase cards and low pull rates age exceptionally well. Whether you are hunting for high-end singles to grade or looking for a premium sealed box to hold long-term, Inferno X is a top-tier choice.

Where to Buy Inferno X Booster Packs

TCGplayer button packs Inferno X

If you are looking for the safest place to buy Inferno X Japanese booster packs, sealed boxes, or the expensive Charizard singles, TCGplayer.com is the perfect place. They provide a massive marketplace with transparent pricing and buyer protection so you don’t have to worry about tampered products or resealed packs.

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