The Twilight Masquerade expansion brings the festival atmosphere of the Kitakami region into the Pokémon Trading Card Game. Featuring the legendary Ogerpon in all of its unique Tera forms, alongside the highly anticipated return of powerful ACE SPEC cards, this set truly provides the best of both worlds for collectors and competitive players alike.
With some of the most stunning—and expensive—artwork of the Scarlet & Violet era hidden inside these packs, collectors are all asking the same question: how good are the Twilight Masquerade pull rates?
Below is a complete breakdown of the odds for every rarity in the set, based on data aggregated from thousands of pack openings.
Twilight Masquerade Pull Rates Chart
Because The Pokémon Company does not guarantee specific pull rates per booster box, you should treat these numbers as long-term averages. Here is what you can realistically expect when opening Twilight Masquerade:
| Card Type | Ratio | Percent Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 1:6 (1 out of 6 packs) | 16.9% per pack |
| Ultra Rare | 1:15 | 6.6% |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 1:20 | 5.1% |
| Illustration Rare | 1:13 | 7.7% |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1:86 | 1.2% |
| Hyper Rare | 1:146 | 0.7% |
Note: You have roughly a 1 in 20 chance of pulling a highly playable, pink-bordered ACE SPEC card, making them fairly accessible for players looking to upgrade their decks.
The Best Chase Cards in Twilight Masquerade
While the pull rates for the highest rarities (like Special Illustration Rares) are notoriously difficult at 1 in 86 packs, the sheer value of the top hits makes opening this set incredibly thrilling.
The undisputed crown jewel of Twilight Masquerade is the Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare (214/167). Featuring an explosion of vibrant, colorful paint as Greninja strikes a dynamic pose, this card has skyrocketed in demand. A raw copy consistently hovers around the $300 to $340 price point, making it one of the most valuable modern Pokémon cards in existence.
Beyond Greninja, the set is loaded with other massive chase cards, including:
- Perrin (220/167): A highly desired “waifu” Supporter card featuring her Growlithe.
- Carmine (217/167): Another top-tier Supporter card that perfectly captures the festival vibe.
- Eevee (188/167): A gorgeous Illustration Rare showing Eevee relaxing in a living room that carries a hefty premium for an IR.
- Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex (216/167) & the various Ogerpon ex masks.
Is Twilight Masquerade Worth Opening?
Even though the hardest-to-pull cards can be elusive, Twilight Masquerade is absolutely worth opening. Between the playable Tera Pokémon, the meta-defining ACE SPEC trainer cards, and the inclusion of popular favorites like Greninja and Eevee, every booster pack offers a chance at something special. The hit rates for standard Illustration Rares (1 in 13 packs) ensure that you will still walk away with beautiful alternate art cards in almost every booster box.
Where to Buy Twilight Masquerade Booster Packs
If you’re looking for the best place to buy Twilight Masquerade booster packs, Elite Trainer Boxes, or single cards, TCGplayer.com is the perfect place! They provide a massive marketplace with transparent pricing and verified condition listings for every item.

